Atlanta Braves at Philadelphia Phillies Betting Odds


Opening Moneyline: Braves +118 / Phillies -138 O/U 7.5 runs

Game Time: 7:05 PM EST Friday May 6, 2011

The Phillies are coming off a sweep in their last series and they have the best record in the NL, but they will be facing the hottest team in the Majors in the Braves, who have won 5 straight and 10 of their last 13. The Braves also are coming off a sweep in their last series and now they sit in 3rd place in the NL East 4.5 games back of the Phillies. In the last series between these 2 teams in Atlanta the Braves dropped 2 of 3 and the Braves have only won 2 of their last 7 games against the Phillies in the City of Brotherly Love.

In their last games the Braves beat the Milwaukee Brewers 2-1 and the Phillies beat the Washington Nationals 7-3.

This season the Phillies have an Over/Under record of 15-14-1 and a runline W/L record of 16-14 and the Braves have an Over/Under record of 17-14-2 and a runline W/L record of 18-15.

On the season the Phillies are a NL best 12-5 at home and the Braves are 9-8 on the road.

On the mound tonight for the Phillies is Cliff Lee (2-2 3.66 ERA), who in his last start only gave up 1 earned run in 7 innings, but he got no run support in a no-decision facing the Mets. Derek Lowe (2-3 3.72 ERA) is on the hill for the Braves tonight and in his last outing he gave up 4 earned runs in 5 innings in a no-decision against the Cardinals.

Lowe has only given up 5 earned runs in the last 22 innings he has pitched against the Phillies, but in that span he is only 1-2. The Braves are only 1-4 in Lowe’s last 5 road starts. In his last 4 starts against the Phillies the total has gone Under every game.

Lee was shelled in his only start of the season against the Braves this season giving up 10 hits in only 3 innings of work and he has not had much luck against Atlanta in his career going 1-2 with an ERA of 6.98 in 4 starts against them. The Phillies are 8-3 in Lee’s last 11 starts.

Before their 2-1 win in their last game the Braves offense was on fire averaging 7 runs per game in their last 4 games.

In some other betting trends for this NL East match up:

Atlanta is 5-1 in their last 6 road games, 2-5 in their last 7 road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than 60%, and they have an Over record of 5-0 in their last 5 road games.

Philadelphia is 13-5 in their last 18 home games against teams with a winning road record and they have an Under record of 7-3 in their last 10 games following a win.

In the last 10 games between these 2 NL East rivals in Philadelphia the Under record is 7-2-1.

Our Selection : Braves pitcher Derek Lowe has struggled as of late and in our opinion is now pitching more true to form. Chris Lee on the other hand is rounding into form. However, Lee has struggled versus Atlanta and the total is reasonably low.
Take Over 7.5 runs at Bodog.


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