Opening Moneyline: Red Sox -165 / Tigers +145 O/U 9 runs
Time: 7:05 PM EST Saturday May 15, 2010
Tonight in an AL match up the Detroit Tigers host the Boston Red Sox. The Tigers are still in 2nd place in the AL central 2.5 games back of the Twins, but they are not playing the best baseball coming off a loss and only being 4-6 in their last 10 games. On the other hand the Red Sox are in 4th place in the AL East 5.5 games back of the Rays, but they are coming off a win and are 7-3 in their last 10 games.
This season the Tigers are 12-5 at home and the Red Sox are 7-6 on the road.
In the first game of this series yesterday the Red Sox beat the Tigers 7-2 behind David Ortiz's 2 HR's.
Taking the mound for the Tigers is Dontrelle Willis (1-1 3.99 ERA), who missed his last start due to illness and in his last outing gave up 3 earned runs in 5 innings in a no-decision. On the hill tonight for the Red Sox is Jon Lester (3-2 3.71), who in his last start was solid only giving up 2 earned runs in 7 innings in a win.
Lester started the season poorly going 0-2 with an ERA of 8.44 in his first 3 starts, but he has won his last 3 starts and in his last 4 outings he has an ERA of only 0.98 and opponents are only hitting .154.
After a terrible season last year Willis has been decent this season giving up 3 or fewer runs in 4 of his 5 starts.
The Red Sox have won 5 straight games against the Tigers in Detroit.
Boston is 1-4 in Lester's last 5 starts against teams with a winning record and dating back to last season Detroit is 1-4 in Willis' last 5 starts with 10 or more days of rest.
If the Red Sox win tonight they will be 3 games over .500 for the first time this season.
David Ortiz really struggled in April, but so far this month he is hitting .333 with 5 HR's and 11 RBIs in 9 games.
Boston is surging, but to get back into the AL East race their pitching needs to improve, as they have given up the 3rd most runs in the AL.
Betting Trends
Boston is 4-1 in their last 5 games, 2-5 in their last 7 road games against left-handed starters, and has an Under record of 3-2-1 in their last 6 road games.
Detroit is 4-1 in their last 5 games against left-handed starters, 8-2 in their last 10 home games, and has an Under record of 6-0-1 in their last 9 7 home games.
Our Selection : The Tigers have scored over 4 runs only three times in their last ten games. Toss in the solid pitching for both sides and the total is where my money is going. Take Under 9 runs at Bodog.
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