Opening Moneyline: Reds +150 / Astros -170 O/U 7.5 runs
Time: 8:05 PM EST Thursday April 29, 2010
Tonight in a NL Central battle in the Lone Star State the Houston Astros host the Cincinnati Reds. All of the teams in the division except the Cardinals are under .500 this season. After a horrible start the Astros have rebounded winning 7 of their last 10 games even though they have lost 2 in a row and are in the basement of the NL Central 5-5 games back of the Cardinals. The Reds are hot, as they have won 3 in a row, but are only 5-5 in their last 10 games and are in 2nd place in the division 4 games back of the Cardinals.
This season the Astros are 5-9 at home and the Reds are 4-5 on the road.
The visiting Reds look for the sweep in this series tonight after winning last night's game 6-4.
The Astros have lost 11 of their last 12 games against Reds including losing 6 of their last 7 at home.
Taking the mound for the Astros tonight is Roy Oswalt (2-2 2.42 ERA), who was solid in his last start giving up 2 earned runs in 7 innings and earning a win. On the hill for the Reds is the struggling Bronson Arroyo (0-2 7.43 ERA), who is still looking for his first win of the season and was shelled in his last start giving up 8 earned runs in only 3 innings of work and getting a loss.
Oswalt has dominated the Reds in his career going 23-1 with a 2.58 ERA in 32 games, including going 12-0 with a 2.26 ERA in 16 games in Houston.
Even though Arroyo is winless this season he has won 4 straight starts against the Astros with 2 complete games and an ERA of only 1.69.
Dating back to last season Houston is 6-2 in Oswalt's last 8 starts as a favorite and Cincinnati is 6-2 in Arroyo's last 8 road starts against teams with a losing record.
Houston's pitching has been decent this season, but their offense has struggled out of the gate and they have scored the fewest runs in the Majors. Conversely, the Red's pitching is their main weakness, as they have given up the 3rd most runs in the NL.
Betting Trends
Cincinnati is 2-5 in their last 7 road games, 5-1 in their last 6 road games against teams with a home winning percentage of less than 40%, and has an Over record of 6-2-2 in their last 10 games.
Houston is 4-9 in their last 13 games as a favorite, 5-2 in their last 7 games against teams in the NL Central, and has an Under record of 5-1 in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
In the last 7 games between these 2 teams the total has gone Over 5 times.
Our Selection : Take Over 7.5 runs at 5Dimes.
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