New York Mets at Florida Marlins Betting Odds


Opening Moneyline: Mets +110 / Marlins -130 O/U 7.5 runs

Time: 7:05 PM EST Thursday May 13, 2010

Tonight in a NL East match up in the Sunshine State the Florida Marlins host the New York Mets. Last week the Mets were one of the hottest teams in baseball and were leading the NL East. However, they have slipped this week and are coming off a loss, are only 4-6 in their last 10 games, and are in 3rd place in the division 3.5 games back of Philadelphia. The Marlins have been hovering around .500 for most of the season and like the Mets are coming off a loss and are also 4-6 in the last 10 games. The Marlins are in 4th place in the NL East 4.5 games back of the Phillies.

This season the Marlins are 7-9 at home and the Mets are 4-8 on the road.

In their last games the Mets lost to the Washington Nationals 6-4 last night and the Marlins lost to the Chicago Cubs 4-3 also yesterday.

The last time the Mets won a series on the road was against Marlins last season.

Taking the mound tonight for the Marlins is Josh Johnson (3-1 3.35 ERA), who in his last start gave up 3 earned runs in 6 innings in a no-decision. On the hill tonight for the Mets is Johan Santana (3-2 4.54 ERA), who gave up 4 earned runs in 7 innings in a no-decision in his last outing.

Santana has struggled this month with an ERA of 11.12 in his 2 May starts. However, facing the Marlins may snap his slump since he is 6-1 with a 1.66 ERA in 8 career starts against Florida.

Johnson lost on opening day to Santana and the Mets, but before that game was 7-0 with an ERA of 2.30 in his last 9 starts against New York.

New York is 4-1 in Santana's last 5 starts and dating back to last season Florida is 14-3 in Johnson's last 17 home starts against teams with a winning record.

After a fast start this season Jeff Francoeur has been struggling this month hitting .132 in 11 games this month.

Even though the Marlins are 2 games under .500 at home this season now is the time for them to make a run in the division, as 16 of their next 21 games are at home.

Reigning NL batting champ Hanley Ramirez (.292 7 HR 19 RBI) who is hitting .361 at home has played well this season, but on Florida's recent road trip he was only 4/23.

Betting Trends

New York is 5-2 in their last 7 games against teams with a losing record, 2-7 in their last 9 road games against a right-handed starter, and has an Over record of 6-1-1 in their last 8 games.

Florida is 2-6 in their last 8 home games, 2-5 in their last 7 games as a favorite, and has an Under record of 4-0 in their last 4 games.

Our Selection : Sure the Mets have performed well at home, but they're only 4-8 on the road this season. Marlins send out their ace J. Johnson ( 5 straight quality starts) to the mound while the Mets send struggling lefty J. Santana. Take Florida -125 at Bodog.


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