Philadelphia Phillies at Florida Marlins Betting Odds


Opening Moneyline: Phillies +120 / Marlins -+110 O/U 7 runs

Game Time: 7:10 PM EST Wednesday May 11, 2011

The Marlins have been one of the surprises this season in 2nd place in the tough NL East only 2 games back of the Phillies. Last night they picked up even more confidence beating the Phillies and last season’s Cy Young winner Roy Halladay. The Phillies are 6-4 in their last 10 games and the Marlins are 5-5 in their last 10 games. Tonight the Phillies have another Ace on the mound in Cliff Lee, however he is looking for his first win in over a month. Lee may have to pitch well, as the Phillies offense is only batting .226 and has only scored 12 runs in their last 5 games.

In last night’s game the Marlins beat the Phillies 2-1 in a pitcher’s duel.

The Marlins have the 2nd best home record in the NL at 12-8 while the Phillies have the best road record in the NL at 10-5.

The Phillies have beaten the Marlins in 11 of their last 14 games.

On the season the Marlins have an Over/Under record of 18-15-2 and a runline W/L record of 19/16 and the Phillies have an O/U record of 16-17-2 and a runline W/L record of 18-17.

On the mound for the Marlins tonight is Ricky Nolasco (3-0 3.23 ERA), who had a great last start going 7 innings and only giving up 2 earned runs in a no-decision against the Nationals. Cliff Lee (2-3 3.69 ERA) is on the hill for the Phillies and in his last outing he gave up 3 earned runs in 7 innings in a loss to the Braves.

Lee does not have a win in his last 4 starts, but the main reason is he is not getting much run support with an ERA of 3.33 in that span. The Phillies are 5-0 in Lee’s last 5 road starts against teams with a winning record.

Nolasco has pitched well against the Phillies lately going 5-1 with a 2.92 ERA over his last seven 7 starts against them. The Marlins are 5-1 in Nolasco’s last 6 starts.

After a horrible start to the season Raul Ibanez has been on fire lately, going 14 for 30 (.467) with 4 doubles, 2 homers and 5 RBIs over his last 8 games and in his last 16 games against Florida he is hitting a scorching .467 with 14 RBI.

In some other betting trends for this NL East match up:

Philadelphia is 7-2 in their last 9 games after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game and they have an Under record of 3-1-1 in their last 5 games.

Florida is 1-5 in their last 6 games following a win and they have an Under record of 6-1 in their last 7 games facing a left hand starter.

In the last 7 games between these 2 teams in Florida the total has gone Over

Our Selection : Phillies starter Cliff Lee is rounding to form and Marlins starter has been exceptional all season. Both teams have been treanding to the under in recent games and we don’t see that changing today. Take Under 7 runs at Bodog.


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