Opening Line: Cavaliers -3.5 / Bucks +3.5 O/U 194.5
Time: 8:30 PM EST Saturday March 6, 2010 on FSN-WIHD
Tonight in a match up of a couple of streaking teams the Milwaukee Bucks host the Cleveland Cavaliers. Nobody really expected anything from the Bucks this season, especially when Michael Redd was lost to the season with a knee injury, but the Bucks have been playing great for the last couple of months and have won 2 in a row and 8-2 in their last 10 games. The Cavs have won 6 in a row and are 7-3 in their last 10 games.
With the Bucks solid play they have climbed up the standings and are now in 6th place in the Eastern Conference only half a game behind 5th place Toronto. The Cavs are running away with the East, as they have a comfortable 6 game lead over 2nd place Orlando.
This season the Bucks are 19-9 at home and 38-21-1 ATS and the Cavs are 22-10 on the road and 32-29-1 ATS.
In their last games both teams won last night, as the Cavs beat the Detroit Pistons 99-92 and the Bucks laid a real beat down on the Washington Wizards crushing them 102-74.
The Bucks have won 14 of their last 18 games, but they have dropped 6 straight to the Cavs.
The Bucks have to get confidence by beating solid teams, as 13 of their last 14 wins have come against teams that are currently out of the playoff picture.
The Bucks' defense, which is respectable ranking 10th in points allowed (97 ppg), not only have to worry about LeBron James (30 ppg), but also Antawn Jamison and Anderson Varejao. This will be Jamison's first game against Milwaukee in a Cavs' uniform, but in his last 5 games in Milwaukee has averaged 21.6 ppg 9.8 rpg and Varejao has averaged 13.5 ppg and 8.5 rpg in the Cavs 6 game winning streak.
With Shaq out Varejao and J.J. Hickson have to be the big guys in the paint and now allow Milwaukee's leading scorer and rebounder Andrew Bogut (16 ppg 10.3 rpg) to have a big scoring game or dominate the boards.
The Bucks are not a high scoring team ranking 20th in the league (98.2 ppg) and they will be facing a Cleveland defense that ranks 4th in the league in points allowed (95.2 ppg)
Cleveland is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite, 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games, and has an Over record of 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road favorite.
Milwaukee is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games, 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a home underdog of 0.5-4.5, and has an Over record of 5-1 in their last 6 games as a home underdog.
Cleveland is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games in Milwaukee.
Our Selection : The Bucks have won 14 of their last 18 games, but they have dropped 6 straight to the Cavs. I do think Cleveland should win this game but we're going to make a play on the total here. The Cavs have an Over record of 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road favorite and the Bucks have a Over record of 5-1 in their last 6 games as a home underdog. Can see both of these teams scoring over 100 points each, making the posted number easily reachable. Take Over 194.5
Dallas Mavericks at Miami Heat Odds 6-12
The Mavs are up 3-2 in this series heading to South Beach and for the Heat to force Game 7 they will have to play better in the 4th quarter, especially LeBron James. 5Dimes has the hometown Heat as 5-point favorites in Game 6 with a total of 187.
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